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  • gold rally
    Markets

    Gold’s 43% Rally: What History Tells Us About the Road Ahead

    ByArnob Biswas September 17, 2025September 17, 2025

    Gold has always been more than just a metal. And right now, it is glittering brighter than ever, up 42.9 percent in the past year.

    Read More Gold’s 43% Rally: What History Tells Us About the Road AheadContinue

  • US wage growth and inflation
    Markets

    Wage Growth: Why the Fed Still Has a Problem, Even as Inflation Cools

    ByArnob Biswas August 13, 2025August 13, 2025

    The July 2025 CPI report confirmed what markets had been hoping for: U.S. annual inflation slowed to +2.7% year-on-year, still above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target but comfortably below recent peaks. However, beneath that headline lies a more stubborn challenge for policymakers — wage growth.   At +3.9% y/y, wages are still rising faster than prices, meaning real purchasing power…

    Read More Wage Growth: Why the Fed Still Has a Problem, Even as Inflation CoolsContinue

  • US market update
    Markets

    Why History Says the US Equities May Just Be Getting Started in 2025

    ByArnob Biswas July 22, 2025July 22, 2025

    The market is calm — for now. But is that a sign of strength or the eye of the storm?

    After a turbulent first half of 2025, U.S. equities have surged to record highs.

    Read More Why History Says the US Equities May Just Be Getting Started in 2025Continue

  • market direction in july
    Markets

    2025 Mid-Year Market Review: A Currency-Driven Comeback Masked as Calm

    ByArnob Biswas July 1, 2025July 1, 2025

    If you had just woken up after a six-month digital detox, peeking at YTD returns in global markets might lull you into thinking 2025 has been a relatively uneventful year. But beneath the surface, the story is far more dynamic — driven less by earnings or innovation and more by shifting tides in currency markets…

    Read More 2025 Mid-Year Market Review: A Currency-Driven Comeback Masked as CalmContinue

  • markets whisper headlines roar
    Markets

    When Headlines Roar and Markets Whisper: Navigating Geopolitical Volatility

    ByArnob Biswas June 23, 2025June 23, 2025

    Geopolitical shocks, especially military conflicts, present a particularly difficult challenge for investors—not because markets fail to price them in, but because they price them in too fast. While humans tend to focus on present chaos and fear, markets are already processing tomorrow’s possibilities. This divergence often leads to emotional, flawed investment decisions precisely when cool-headed…

    Read More When Headlines Roar and Markets Whisper: Navigating Geopolitical VolatilityContinue

  • Powell fed updates
    Markets

    Jay Powell’s Last Act: What Markets Should Expect from the Fed Now

    ByArnob Biswas June 17, 2025June 17, 2025

    As the June 2025 FOMC meeting approaches, the U.S. Federal Reserve finds itself at a critical inflection point—not just economically, but institutionally. With just eight scheduled meetings left in Jerome Powell’s term as Chair, markets are not only watching policy signals but also reading between the lines of a legacy in formation. The Fed’s updated…

    Read More Jay Powell’s Last Act: What Markets Should Expect from the Fed NowContinue

  • rest of the world outperform US stocks
    Markets

    Record Outperformance: Rest of World vs. S&P 500 – What’s Driving It and What Comes Next?

    ByArnob Biswas May 28, 2025May 28, 2025

    May 2025 marks a pivotal moment in global equity performance: for the first time in over 15 years, rest of world (ROW) stocks have outperformed the S&P 500 by the widest margin on record over a 100-day trailing period. This development raises critical questions for global asset allocators: Is this a statistical anomaly destined to mean revert, or the…

    Read More Record Outperformance: Rest of World vs. S&P 500 – What’s Driving It and What Comes Next?Continue

  • moodys downgrade
    Markets

    Moody’s Downgrades U.S. Credit Rating: Does It Really Matter for Markets ?

    ByArnob Biswas May 19, 2025May 19, 2025

    On Friday, Moody’s Ratings became the final member of the “Big Three” to strip the United States of its pristine Aaa credit rating, downgrading it to Aa1. This decision, while symbolically significant, raises the question: Does it actually matter for markets, rates, or recession risks? Let’s dissect this event across three analytical dimensions: A. Moody’s…

    Read More Moody’s Downgrades U.S. Credit Rating: Does It Really Matter for Markets ?Continue

  • gold silver update
    Markets

    Gold/Silver Ratio Hits Crisis-Era Extremes: What It Tells Us About 2025’s Market Psychology

    ByArnob Biswas May 8, 2025May 8, 2025

    As of early May 2025, the gold/silver ratio stands at an extraordinary 102x, a level rarely seen outside of historic crises. This ratio—simply the price of gold divided by the price of silver—serves as a real-time barometer of market sentiment. Right now, it’s flashing a powerful signal: investors are prioritizing safety and value preservation over industrial…

    Read More Gold/Silver Ratio Hits Crisis-Era Extremes: What It Tells Us About 2025’s Market PsychologyContinue

  • US jobs report
    Markets

    April Jobs Report Delivers a Goldilocks Scenario for the Fed — But Caution Still Rules

    ByArnob Biswas May 5, 2025May 5, 2025

    The April 2025 U.S. jobs report delivered a measured dose of optimism for markets and policymakers alike, painting a picture of a labor market that’s neither too hot nor too cold — just right enough to keep the Fed steady-handed, at least for now. 1. Labor Market Holding Firm: Job Gains Beat Expectations U.S. employers…

    Read More April Jobs Report Delivers a Goldilocks Scenario for the Fed — But Caution Still RulesContinue

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